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Can you have a consensus if no one agrees what the consensus is?
Over at the Blackboard, Lucia has a post with a growing set of comments about anthropogenic warming and the tropical, mid-tropospheric hotspot. Unlike many who are commenting on the topic, I have...
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Global Warming “Accelerating”
I have written a number of times about the “global warming accelerating” meme. The evidence is nearly irrefutable that over the last 10 years, for whatever reason, the pace of global warming has...
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The Plug
I have always been suspicious of climate models, in part because I spent some time in college trying to model chaotic dynamic systems, and in part because I have a substantial amount of experience with...
View ArticleA Cautionary Tale About Models Of Complex Systems
I have often written warming about the difficulty of modeling complex systems. My mechanical engineering degree was focused on the behavior and modeling of dynamic systems. Since then, I have spent...
View ArticleThe Dividing Line Between Nuisance and Catastrophe: Feedback
I have written for quite a while that the most important issue in evaluating catastrophic global warming forecasts is feedback. Specifically, is the climate dominated by positive feedbacks, such that...
View ArticleIt’s Not Zero
I have been meaning to link to this post for a while, but the Reference Frame, along with Roy Spencer, makes a valuable point I have also made for some time — the warming effect from man’s CO2 is not...
View ArticlePerils of Modeling Complex Systems
I thought this article in the NY Times about the failure of models to accurately predict the progression of swine flu cases was moderately instructive. In the waning days of April, as federal officials...
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